Matthew Stafford or Patrick Mahomes II?

Who to start in Week 1, who is better for the rest of the season, and who carries more trade value — from the FantasyPros expert consensus and the LeagueLogs Market Index.

Week 1 · 2026 season · Consensus updated September 3 at 1:20 PM EDT

Connect your league and an AI analyst settles debates like this one against your actual roster.

The lean

  • This week: Matthew Stafford
  • Rest of season: Patrick Mahomes II77 of 113 experts
  • Trade value: close to even

The horizons disagree, which is exactly when your roster context decides it.

Matthew StaffordPatrick Mahomes II
Rest of season
36 of 113 experts rank Matthew Stafford ahead · 77 rank Patrick Mahomes II ahead
QB15#9–#21QB14#10–#20edge
Week 1QB13#7–#20edgeQB17#11–#22
Week 1 projection (PPR)16.916.2
Market Index value (redraft PPR)8 #105 overall9 #100 overall
Rostered93%88%
Bye115
StatusNo injury designationNo injury designation

Expert consensus and ownership data via FantasyPros · Market Index values by LeagueLogs

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More comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Who should I start in Week 1, Matthew Stafford or Patrick Mahomes II?
Matthew Stafford. This week's consensus has Matthew Stafford at QB13 (range #7–#20) and Patrick Mahomes II at QB17 (range #11–#22). Projections: 16.9 vs 16.2 PPR points.
Who is better for the rest of the season, Matthew Stafford or Patrick Mahomes II?
Patrick Mahomes II. Rest-of-season consensus: Matthew Stafford QB15 (range #9–#21) vs Patrick Mahomes II QB14 (range #10–#20). 77 of 113 FantasyPros experts who rank both have Patrick Mahomes II ahead for the rest of the season.
Should I trade Matthew Stafford for Patrick Mahomes II?
On the LeagueLogs Market Index (redraft PPR) Matthew Stafford is ranked #105 overall and Patrick Mahomes II #100, so a one-for-one is close to even. Run the exact deal through the free AI Trade Analyzer for a verdict on your league's scoring.