Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence?
Who to start in Week 1, who is better for the rest of the season, and who carries more trade value — from the FantasyPros expert consensus and the LeagueLogs Market Index.
Week 1 · 2026 season · Consensus updated September 3 at 1:20 PM EDT
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The lean
- This week: Justin Herbert
- Rest of season: Justin Herbert — 73 of 113 experts
- Trade value: close to even
The three horizons agree — this one is not close on the consensus.
| Justin Herbert | Trevor Lawrence | |
|---|---|---|
| Rest of season 73 of 113 experts rank Justin Herbert ahead · 40 rank Trevor Lawrence ahead | QB8#4–#14edge | QB9#4–#15 |
| Week 1 | QB5#1–#9edge | QB10#7–#13 |
| Week 1 projection (PPR) | 18.5edge | 17.0 |
| Market Index value (redraft PPR) | 12 #68 overall | 11 #75 overall |
| Rostered | 94% | 92% |
| Bye | 7 | 7 |
| Status | No injury designation | No injury designation |
Expert consensus and ownership data via FantasyPros · Market Index values by LeagueLogs
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Frequently Asked Questions
- Who should I start in Week 1, Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence?
- Justin Herbert. This week's consensus has Justin Herbert at QB5 (range #1–#9) and Trevor Lawrence at QB10 (range #7–#13). Projections: 18.5 vs 17.0 PPR points.
- Who is better for the rest of the season, Justin Herbert or Trevor Lawrence?
- Justin Herbert. Rest-of-season consensus: Justin Herbert QB8 (range #4–#14) vs Trevor Lawrence QB9 (range #4–#15). 73 of 113 FantasyPros experts who rank both have Justin Herbert ahead for the rest of the season.
- Should I trade Justin Herbert for Trevor Lawrence?
- On the LeagueLogs Market Index (redraft PPR) Justin Herbert is ranked #68 overall and Trevor Lawrence #75, so a one-for-one is close to even. Run the exact deal through the free AI Trade Analyzer for a verdict on your league's scoring.