Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr.?

Who to start in Week 1, who is better for the rest of the season, and who carries more trade value — from the FantasyPros expert consensus and the LeagueLogs Market Index.

Week 1 · 2026 season · Consensus updated September 3 at 1:20 PM EDT

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The lean

  • This week: Geno Smith
  • Rest of season: Geno Smith96 of 106 experts
  • Trade value: close to even

The three horizons agree — this one is not close on the consensus.

Geno SmithMichael Penix Jr.
Rest of season
96 of 106 experts rank Geno Smith ahead · 10 rank Michael Penix Jr. ahead
QB29#25–#32edgeQB32#28–#40
Week 1QB29#24–#31edgeQB34#30–#35
Week 1 projection (PPR)13.8edge3.8
Market Index value (redraft PPR)4 #232 overall3 #318 overall
Rostered7%4%
Bye1311
StatusNo injury designationNo injury designation

Expert consensus and ownership data via FantasyPros · Market Index values by LeagueLogs

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who should I start in Week 1, Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr.?
Geno Smith. This week's consensus has Geno Smith at QB29 (range #24–#31) and Michael Penix Jr. at QB34 (range #30–#35). Projections: 13.8 vs 3.8 PPR points.
Who is better for the rest of the season, Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr.?
Geno Smith. Rest-of-season consensus: Geno Smith QB29 (range #25–#32) vs Michael Penix Jr. QB32 (range #28–#40). 96 of 106 FantasyPros experts who rank both have Geno Smith ahead for the rest of the season.
Should I trade Geno Smith for Michael Penix Jr.?
On the LeagueLogs Market Index (redraft PPR) Geno Smith is ranked #232 overall and Michael Penix Jr. #318, so a one-for-one is close to even. Run the exact deal through the free AI Trade Analyzer for a verdict on your league's scoring.